Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Emirates Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	12:00	Disney+
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	19:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 3
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 4
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	18:00	Gotv
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 1
Kyrgyzstan	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	20:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	09:00	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	21:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	16:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	10:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	23:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
United Kingdom	15:00	BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+
Vietnam	22:00	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
International	15:00	Sport 24


	Arsenal		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7.5
	1.46	4.75	6.5
	1.37	5.2	8.4
	1.48	4.7	7.1
	1.4	5.08	8.44	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.5
	1.41	5.28	8.4	Watch
	1.36	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	5.01 ↑ (4.66)	7.79 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
68.5%

Draw
19.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.6%	9%	4.5%

Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (7.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (58 of 67 users predict this - 86.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.41% – 94.73%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 3 - 10.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 41. Rice D. 2. Saliba W. 5. Hincapie P. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 7. Saka B. 14. Gyökeres V. 19. Trossard L.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 42. Coppola D. 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 13. Hinshelwood J. 29. De Cuyper M. 8. Gruda B. 25. Gomez D. 10. Rutter G.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 6. Gabriel 9. Gabriel Jesus 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 89. Salmon M.	21. Boscagli O. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 14. Watson T. 18. Welbeck D. 27. Wieffer M.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Odegaard M. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
45+1', Verbruggen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gruda B. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
46', De Cuyper M. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
50', Dunk L. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Rutter G. (Own goal), Rice D. (A),
56', Coppola D. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
69', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
71', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
71', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
82', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
87', Gomez D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
87', Coppola D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90', Hincapie P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

Arsenal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brighton & Hove's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel (Thigh Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Hincapie P. (Shoulder Injury) Martinelli G. (Knock)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Welbeck D. (Back Injury) Wieffer M. (Head Injury)

We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Club Brugge - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Aston Villa - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
20.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	3:4 ✺
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
English Premier League
04.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	1:1
31.08.24	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.04.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:3
17.12.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
14.05.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3
31.12.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	2:4

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