What is the expert prediction for Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

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Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 27, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24


	Arsenal		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7.5
	1.46	4.75	6.5
	1.37	5.2	8.4
	1.48	4.7	7.1
	1.4	5.08	8.44	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.5
	1.41	5.28	8.4	Watch
	1.36	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	5.01 ↑ (4.66)	7.79 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
68.5%

Draw
19.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.6%	9%	4.5%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (7.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (58 of 67 users predict this - 86.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.41% – 94.73%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 30 - 88.2%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 41. Rice D. 2. Saliba W. 5. Hincapie P. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 7. Saka B. 14. Gyökeres V. 19. Trossard L.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 42. Coppola D. 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 13. Hinshelwood J. 29. De Cuyper M. 8. Gruda B. 25. Gomez D. 10. Rutter G.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 6. Gabriel 9. Gabriel Jesus 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 89. Salmon M.	21. Boscagli O. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 14. Watson T. 18. Welbeck D. 27. Wieffer M.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Odegaard M. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
45+1', Verbruggen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gruda B. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
46', De Cuyper M. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
50', Dunk L. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Rutter G. (Own goal), Rice D. (A),
56', Coppola D. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
69', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
71', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
71', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
75', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
82', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
87', Gomez D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
87', Coppola D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90', Hincapie P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

Arsenal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brighton & Hove's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel (Thigh Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Hincapie P. (Shoulder Injury) Martinelli G. (Knock)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Welbeck D. (Back Injury) Wieffer M. (Head Injury)

We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

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Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Club Brugge - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Aston Villa - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
20.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	3:4 ✺
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
English Premier League
04.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	1:1
31.08.24	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
06.04.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:3
17.12.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
14.05.23	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3
31.12.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	2:4

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