Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	SÝN Sport 5
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, SuperSport 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.7	3.95	4.95
	1.7	4.09	5.3
	1.74	3.82	4.72	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.72	4.11	5.28	Watch
	1.85	3.66	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.61)	3.88 ↓ (4.16)	4.77 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
55.1%

Draw
24.8%

Sunderland
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	13.8%	13.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Sunderland will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Brighton & Hove (2.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Sunderland (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 42. Coppola D. 21. Boscagli O. 24. Kadioglu F. 26. Ayari Y. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 8. Gruda B. 29. De Cuyper M. 10. Rutter G. (C)	22. Roefs R. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 15. Alderete O. 6. Geertruida L. 28. Le Fee E. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 32. Hume T. 11. Rigg C. 24. Adingra S. 9. Brobbey B.
Substitutes
49. Knight J. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 22. Mitoma K. 58. Oriola N. 54. Simmonds F. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 14. Watson T.	3. Cirkin D. 19. Diarra H. 33. Hjelde L. F. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 12. Mayenda E. 14. Mundle R. 4. Neil D. 1. Patterson A. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Gruda B. 🟨,
34', Coppola D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
63', Adingra S. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
64', Rigg C. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
64', De Cuyper M. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
71', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
71', Minteh Y. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
72', Brobbey B. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
79', Ballard D. 🟨,
86', Le Fee E. 🟨,
87', Gruda B. ↓, Watson T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Brighton & Hove is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) Dunk L. (Yellow Cards) Gomez D. (Yellow Cards) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Diarra H. (International duty) Mandava R. (International duty) Masuaku A. (International duty) O'Nien L. (Red Card) Sadiki N. (International duty) Talbi C. (International duty) Traore B. (International duty)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.08%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	3:4 ✺
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
14.12.25	Sunderland - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Manchester City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Liverpool - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fulham - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLTWL

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