Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV+
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	West Ham United		Fulham

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3.70	2.87
	2.62	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.65	2.6
	2.53	3.67	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.55
	2.47	3.56	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.15)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	2.63 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
37.6%

Draw
26.3%

Fulham
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.7%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Ham United's performance.

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fulham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Ham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fulham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

West Ham United - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fulham will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Herrick F. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. (C) 5. Morato 14. Mukasa D. 61. Orford L. 7. Engels A. 17. Kante M. 19. Pablo 66. Ajala J.	23. Lecomte B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 4. Cuenca J. 33. Robinson A. 6. Reed H. (C) 15. Larsson H. 11. Kevin 32. Smith Rowe E. 8. Palacios C. 9. Rodrigo Muniz
Substitutes
20. Bowen J. 11. Castellanos T. 58. Golambeckis A. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 27. Magassa S. 63. Mayers E. 9. Piroe J. 30. Scarles O. 10. Solomon M.	22. Affengruber D. 3. Bassey C. 16. Berge S. 14. Bobb O. 19. Charles S. 7. Garcia G. 24. King J. 1. Leno B. (G) 20. Manuel Angel
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Arbeloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Muniz ⚽, Palacios C. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Morato ⚽, Mavropanos K. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Palacios C. ⚽, Andersen J. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Pablo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Mukasa D. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
51', Ajala J. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
63', Reed H. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
63', Larsson H. ↓, Manuel Angel ↑,
64', Pablo ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
68', Smith Rowe E. 🟨,
69', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
69', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
69', Kevin ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Bobb O. ⚽, King J. (A),
83', Orford L. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
83', Morato ↓, Scarles O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.

West Ham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fulham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

West Ham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fulham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in West Ham: Areola A. (Calf Injury) Soucek T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Cairney T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Sessegnon R. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Fulham: 2.83%

Last Results with these Odds

West Ham United - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.8%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English League Championship
11.09.26	West Ham United - Wrexham	6:0 ✺
08.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - West Ham United	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	West Ham United - Derby County	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Watford - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWT
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
12.09.26	Liverpool - Fulham	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Fulham - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.03.26	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1
14.01.25	West Ham United - Fulham	3:2
14.09.24	Fulham - West Ham United	1:1
14.04.24	West Ham United - Fulham	0:2
10.12.23	Fulham - West Ham United	5:0
08.04.23	Fulham - West Ham United	0:1

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