Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday


	Western Stima		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.1	2.8	2.32
	3.2	2.86	2.36
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.02	3.08	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.48)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Stima
28.8%

Draw
30.9%

Ulinzi Stars
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

19.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Stima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Stima than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Stima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulinzi Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Stima - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Western Stima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ulinzi Stars will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Western Stima won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Western Stima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Stima
Kenyan Premier League
13.07.21	Western Stima - Nzoia United	2:2 ✺
05.07.21	Kariobangi Sharks - Western Stima	2:2 ✺
30.06.21	Western Stima - Sofapaka	0:1 ✺
26.06.21	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	1:2 ✺
23.06.21	Tusker - Western Stima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TTLWL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
14.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Wazito	2:1 ✺
10.07.21	Ulinzi Stars - Nairobi City Stars	0:2 ✺
30.06.21	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	1:4 ✺
25.06.21	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	0:0 ✺
15.06.21	Bandari - Ulinzi Stars	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.02.21	Ulinzi Stars - Western Stima	2:2
12.01.20	Ulinzi Stars - Western Stima	3:2
05.10.19	Western Stima - Ulinzi Stars	0:0
17.04.19	Western Stima - Ulinzi Stars	0:2
11.02.19	Ulinzi Stars - Western Stima	1:1
19.04.17	Ulinzi Stars - Western Stima	1:1
23.10.16	Western Stima - Ulinzi Stars	1:1

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