Match Info

A-League - Round 10

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV 2, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, SPOTV 2
Mongolia	SPOTV 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 4
Philippines	SPOTV 2
Singapore	SPOTV 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	SPOTV 2, True ID
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV 2


	Adelaide United		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.52	3.93	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.45
	2.6	3.78	2.59	Watch
	2.57	3.8	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.06)	3.75 ↑ (3.57)	2.47 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
36.9%

Draw
25.1%

Western Sydney Wanderers
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	5.6%	38.9%

Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Western Sydney (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Western Sydney (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Western Sydney (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 71. Stanisic V. 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 19. Dukuly Y. 23. Duzel L. 55. Alagich E. 11. Goodwin C. 44. White R. 9. Jovanovic L.	20. Thomas L. (G) 31. Simmons A. 19. Tongyik R. 4. Bonetig A. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 21. Hammond A. 25. Brillante J. 32. Thurgate A. 26. Borrello B. 45. Kuol A. 23. Kraev B.
Substitutes
42. Ayoubi A. 40. Cox E. (G) 58. Crawford H. 10. Muniz J. 52. Phillis S. 74. Tatu A. 12. Yull J.	6. Al Taay M. 17. Carluccio J. 2. Cleur G. 30. Holmes J. (G) 39. Lual A. 5. Scicluna D. 8. Ugarkovic S.
Coaches
Andrioli A.	Stajcic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
45+2', Stajcic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Hammond A. ⚽, Simmons A. (A),
63', White R. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
63', Duzel L. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
63', Brillante J. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Ayoubi A. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Borrello B. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Borrello B. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
76', Hammond A. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
82', Kuol A. 🟨,
85', Simmons A. ↓, Cleur G. ↑,
87', Goodwin C. 🟨,
90+2', Dukuly Y. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Yull J. ⚽, Ayoubi A. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P. (Red Card) Vriends B. (Hamstring Injury) Yull J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Western Sydney: Gersbach A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:44. (average 1.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.8:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
20.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW
- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
07.11.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
27.12.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3
02.11.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	3:4
Australian Cup
12.09.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ET
Australian A-League
24.02.24	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2
15.12.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	1:0
Australian Cup
29.08.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	5:1

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