Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Referee: Elder D. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Spain	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Newcastle Jets		Western United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	2.1	Watch
	3	3.8	2.1
	3.1	3.75	2.1
	2.99	3.94	2.19
	3.18	3.82	2.11	Watch
	3	3.8	2.1
	3.16	3.78	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)	3.81 ↑ (3.62)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
30.5%

Draw
24.8%

Western United
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Newcastle Jets - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Western United will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. James N. (G) 4. Cancar P. 17. Grozos K. 33. Natta M. 39. Aquilina T. 19. Timmins C. 37. Bayliss L. 23. Wilmering D. 7. Adams E. 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L.	33. Sutton M. (G) 6. Imai T. 4. Donachie J. 30. Leonard D. 29. Shamoon C. A. 10. Grimaldi M. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 77. Danzaki R. 19. Botic N. 9. Ibusuki H.
Substitutes
28. Dobson W. 14. Ingham D. 20. M'Mombwa C. 6. Scarcella M. 1. Scott R. (G) 15. Susnjar A. 29. Vidic J.	44. Lauton J. 14. Najdovski J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 13. Russell T. 37. Vickery L. 70. Vonja M. (G)
Coaches
Stanton R.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
6', 0 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Grimaldi M. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Natta M. (Own goal),
29', 0 - 3, Bozinovski R. ⚽,
35', 0 - 4, Danzaki R. ⚽, Botic N. (A),
37', Taylor C. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Natta M. ↓, Susnjar A. ↑,
46', Cancar P. ↓, Ingham D. ↑,
53', 0 - 5, Bozinovski R. ⚽,
56', Leonard D. 🟨,
58', Adams E. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
65', 1 - 5, M'Mombwa C. ⚽, Dobson W. (A),
65', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
65', Grimaldi M. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
71', Bayliss L. ↓, Scarcella M. ↑,
72', 2 - 5, Thurgate A. (Own goal),
73', Bozinovski R. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
73', Donachie J. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
79', Botic N. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
85', 2 - 6, Ruhs M. ⚽, Najdovski J. (A),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 3.

Newcastle in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Western United will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Gibson B. (Injury)

There will not play in Western United: Garuccio B. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
12.03.25	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.2 WTWWW
- Western United
Australian A-League
08.03.25	Western United - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
28.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Western United - Adelaide United	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Western United - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Macarthur FC - Western United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
17.01.25	Western United - Newcastle Jets	3:1
Australian Cup
24.07.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	4:1
Australian A-League
16.02.24	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:0
30.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	2:0
10.11.23	Western United - Newcastle Jets	0:1
25.02.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:3
15.01.23	Western United - Newcastle Jets	1:1

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