The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 22.5%
Draw 22.2%
Western United 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
25.4%
49.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
24.8%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.5%
0%
81.5%
Brisbane Roar - Western United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Western United (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH -1.5 - Western United (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Brisbane (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% โ 96.13%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western United will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Western United (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Acton M. (G) 19. Hingert J. 12. Herrington L. 15. Bility H. 21. Burke-Gilroy A. 23. Jelacic K. 24. Klein S. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 18. Brazete J. 10. Berenguer F. 11. Abubakar A.
33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. (C) 10. Grimaldi M. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 77. Danzaki R. 19. Botic N. 9. Ibusuki H.
Substitutes
17. Amanatidis N. 1. Freke M. (G) 27. Halloran B. 6. Ludwik A. 8. Shour W. 35. Zabala L. 43. Zimarino A.
4. Donachie J. 44. Lauton J. 14. Najdovski J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 37. Vickery L. 70. Vonja M. (G)
Coaches
Zadkovich R.
Aloisi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Brazete J. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Berenguer F. ⚽,
27', Klein S. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grimaldi M. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
46', Russell T. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
66', Berenguer F. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
68', Danzaki R. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
71', Hingert J. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
77', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
79', Donachie J. 🟨,
79', Abubakar A. 🟨,
85', Brazete J. ↓, Shour W. ↑,
85', Abubakar A. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
88', Botic N. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
90+1', Shour W. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 1.
Brisbane is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Western United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Western United is a favorite.
There will not play in Brisbane: Brown C.
(Injury)
Burke-Gilroy A.
(Inactive)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Western United: Walatee A.
(Concussion)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
New-zealand
Philippines
South-korea
United-kingdom
Usa
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Acton M. (G) 
Hingert J. 
O'Shea J. (C) 
Berenguer F. 
Abubakar A. 
Imai T. 
Shour W. 
Najdovski J. 
