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Current Win Probability
Western United 71.5%
Draw 16.7%
Perth Glory 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
20.2%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
19.4%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Western United - Perth Glory Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Western United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. (C) 10. Grimaldi M. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 77. Danzaki R. 19. Botic N. 9. Ibusuki H.
1. Sail O. (G) 20. Ostler T. 29. Mrcela T. 4. Mourdoukoutas T. 17. Misao Y. 10. Mileusnic N. 21. Amos L. 7. Pennington N. 27. Freney W. 25. Pearman J. 22. Taggart A. (C)
Substitutes
4. Donachie J. 44. Lauton J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 29. Shamoon C. A. 37. Vickery L. 70. Vonja M. (G)
16. Bugarija A. 13. Cook C. (G) 12. Gomulka T. 28. Majekodunmi K. 26. Ngo K. 19. Risdon J. 23. Wood P.
Coaches
Aloisi J.
Zdrilic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bozinovski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Freney W. ↓, Risdon J. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Pearman J. ⚽, Pennington N. (A),
59', Bozinovski R. 🟨,
64', Amos L. ↓, Gomulka T. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Gomulka T. (Own goal),
68', Danzaki R. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
71', Mileusnic N. ↓, Bugarija A. ↑,
78', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Najjarine R. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
88', Ostler T. ↓, Ngo K. ↑,
88', Pearman J. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
90', Garuccio B. ↓, Shamoon C. A. ↑,
90', Leonard D. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
90+3', Ruhs M. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 5.
Western United is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Perth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Perth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Western United is certain favorite.
There will not play in Western United: Garuccio B.
(Injury)
There will not play in Perth: Lebib A.
(Injury)
Lisolajski Z.
(Inactive)
Wales L.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Western United: Walatee A.
(Concussion)
Our prediction for today's Western United to win the game is with odds 1.33.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Western United won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33:18 (average 2.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.7:1).
Asia
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
New-zealand
South-korea
United-kingdom
Usa
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Sutton M. (G) 
Imai T. 
Sail O. (G) 
Amos L. 
Shamoon C. A. 
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