Match Info

National League South - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Worthing		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.85	4.35
	1.68	3.98	4.7
	1.66	4.06	4.56	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.4
	1.71	3.89	4.36
	1.64	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.88 ↓ (3.89)	4.48 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
55.4%

Draw
23.9%

Weston-super-Mare
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Worthing - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 0, Moulton R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Britton L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Worthing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Weston-super-Mare has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Weston-super-Mare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
27.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Salisbury - Worthing	5:4 ✺
03.01.26	Worthing - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Grimsby Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English National League South
03.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.11.24	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
10.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	3:4
20.04.24	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	4:2
05.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	4:0

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