Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Weymouth		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.55
	2.76	3.21	2.56
	2.76	3.22	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.69	3.13	2.52
	2.6	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
34.2%

Draw
29.8%

Bath City
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Weymouth - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Parselle K. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Wilson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 3, Wilson S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UNLV won 4.

UNLV is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Air Force has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match UNLV is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches UNLV won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1518:1424 (average 75.9:71.2).

Including matches at home between the teams UNLV won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1006:912 (average 77.4:70.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
08.02.25	Chesham United - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Weymouth - Welling United	5:1 ✺
28.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Weymouth - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Weymouth - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- Bath City
English National League South
08.02.25	Bath City - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Truro City - Bath City	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bath City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1
29.03.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1
07.11.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:5
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:2
English National League South
10.04.23	Weymouth - Bath City	1:0
13.09.22	Bath City - Weymouth	2:1
07.03.20	Bath City - Weymouth	0:0

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