Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Weymouth		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.5	3.9	5.3
	1.57	4.58	4.62
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.53	4.25	5.35
	1.49	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)	5.25 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
60.5%

Draw
22.1%

Concord Rangers
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.7%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Weymouth - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Weymouth will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Concord will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Weymouth: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Weymouth is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
04.02.23	Weymouth - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Weymouth - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Oxford City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
04.02.23	Concord Rangers - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Concord Rangers	4:1 ✺
21.01.23	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
01.01.23	Concord Rangers - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Cheshunt - Concord Rangers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.01.20	Concord Rangers - Weymouth	1:2
28.09.19	Weymouth - Concord Rangers	3:0

Weymouth - Concord Rangers