Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.4
	1.84	3.7	3.35
	1.8	4	3.4
	1.85	4.14	3.47
	1.95	3.5	3.2
	1.81	3.96	3.7
	1.8	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	3.42 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
49.9%

Draw
23.5%

Weymouth
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oxford City's form might have worsened.

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weymouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Oxford City - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Weymouth will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
21.01.23	Concord Rangers - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oxford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Oxford City - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL
- Weymouth
English National League South
21.01.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
26.12.22	Weymouth - Taunton Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
13.12.22	Worthing - Weymouth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.08.22	Weymouth - Oxford City	0:2
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Weymouth - Oxford City	2:3
English National League South
28.12.19	Weymouth - Oxford City	2:1
03.09.19	Oxford City - Weymouth	0:0

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