Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 31

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Weymouth		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.15	3.5
	2.07	3.3	3
	1.88	3.4	3.94
	2.15	3.3	3
	1.85	3.74	3.74
	1.92	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.7)	3.43 ↑ (3.24)	3.4 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Dulwich Hamlet
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dulwich Hamlet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dulwich Hamlet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weymouth - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Dulwich is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dulwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Weymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
31.01.23	Weymouth - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Oxford City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
26.12.22	Weymouth - Taunton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
28.01.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Eastbourne Borough	1:3 ✺
24.01.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Ebbsfleet United	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Slough Town - Dulwich Hamlet	4:3 ✺
14.01.23	Welling United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:4 ✺
07.01.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Farnborough	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:0
11.01.20	Weymouth - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
12.10.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:2

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