Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Wiślanie Skawina		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.6	2.78
	2.04	3.62	2.92
	2.09	3.62	2.9	Watch
	2.22	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.23)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	2.82 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiślanie Skawina
42.7%

Draw
25.2%

Star Starachowice
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiślanie Skawina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Szynka A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, Radwanek B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Wiślanie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wiślanie won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Wiślanie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWL
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków	4:2 ✺
27.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.03.25	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1
21.08.24	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1

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