Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 12

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Widzew Łódź		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.8
	1.95	3.5	3.75
	2.02	3.57	4.01
	1.97	3.57	4.02
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.88	3.66	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)	3.52 ↑ (3.49)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
48.6%

Draw
26.5%

Ruch Chorzów
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.1%	2.5%	2.5%

Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Widzew Łódź will win (77 of 81 users predict this - 95.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.34% – 99.78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ravas H. (G) 7. Milos M. 4. Zyro M. 15. Ibiza 14. Ciganiks A. 22. Kun D. 13. Terpilowski E. 25. Hanousek Mar. (C) 47. Klimek A. 6. Shehu J. 99. Rondic I.	31. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Kasolik K. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 77. Bartolewski M. 26. Michalski K. 20. Szymanski S. 28. Podstawski T. 5. Wojtowicz T. 70. Kozak M. 6. Swedrowski T. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez F. 88. Dawid I. 92. Nunes F. 80. Przybulek F. 9. Sanchez J. 2. Silva L. 95. Stepinski P. 74. Szymanski J. (G) 23. Zielinski P.	24. Baranski B. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 19. Feliks M. 9. Firlej M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 13. Moneta L. 4. Szur P. 71. Szywacz R.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Skrobacz J.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 3.

Widzew is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Widzew will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ruch Chorzów: Barnowski D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Widzew: Alvarez F. (Injury) Szota S. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Widzew won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.11.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
08.11.23	Wisła Puławy - Widzew Łódź	1:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.11.23	Widzew Łódź - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLTW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.11.23	Ruch Chorzów - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ruch Chorzów - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.01.22	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
Polish Division 2
04.05.19	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	3:0
20.10.18	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	1:3
Club Friendly
01.07.18	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	0:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.14	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	2:1
25.09.13	Widzew Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:1
02.03.13	Ruch Chorzów - Widzew Łódź	3:0

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