The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Athletic 21.2%
Draw 28.6%
Birmingham City 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
26%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
25.7%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 17. Sibbick T. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 5. Sessegnon S. 6. Weir J. 21. Smith S. 18. Smith J. 10. Aasgaard T. 11. Olakigbe M. 28. Taylor D.
21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. (C) 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 18. Willumsson W. T. 26. Harris L. 9. May A.
Substitutes
23. Carragher J. 9. Hugill J. 44. Hungbo J. 20. McManaman C. 27. Payne K. 19. Robinson L. 12. Watson T. (G)
17. Dykes L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 5. Sanderson D. 11. Wright S. 33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Maloney S.
Davies C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Iwata T. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, May A. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, May A. ⚽, Laird E. (A),
42', Sibbick T. 🟨,
44', Harris L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Harris L. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Willumsson W. T. ⚽, Laird E. (A),
67', Sessegnon S. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
67', Olakigbe M. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
72', May A. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
73', Iwata T. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
77', Aimson W. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
79', Kerr J. 🟨,
80', Smith J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
80', Taylor D. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
90+1', Laird E. 🟨,
90+5', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
90+5', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3.
Recent matches Wigan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Birmingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Wigan have a series of guest games.
In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Wigan won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
Watch
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Tickle S. (G) 
Sibbick T. 
Kerr J. (C) 
Aasgaard T. 
Taylor D. 
Klarer C. (C) 
Iwata T. 
Paik Seung-Ho 
Willumsson W. T. 
Harris L. 
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