Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.76	3.75	4.95
	1.72	3.66	4.76	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.74	3.52	4.81	Watch
	1.71	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	4.8 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
54.5%

Draw
25.9%

Burton Albion
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wigan Athletic's performance.

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	15%	20%

Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Burton will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Burton (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Wigan (5.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 7. Murray F. 6. Weir J. 17. Smith M. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 9. Saydee C. 10. Mullin P. 11. Costelloe D.	24. Collins B. (G) 5. Vancooten T. 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 22. Larsson J. 3. Armer J. 9. Beesley J. (C) 11. Tavares F.
Substitutes
43. Bettoni H. 27. Brenan T. 23. Carragher J. 31. Cooper O. 35. Francois T. 20. McManaman C. 30. Savin T. (G)	27. Dudek K. (G) 17. Hazlehurst J. 41. Krubally S. 38. Newall J. 10. Shade T. 39. Taroni J. 19. Williams D.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Moon J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Mullin P. ⚽, Saydee C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tavares F. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
64', Larsson J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
70', Weir J. 🟨,
78', Mullin P. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
86', Costelloe D. ↓, Carragher J. ↑,
90+1', Murray F. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
90+2', Chauke K. ↓, Newall J. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 19)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wigan is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Hungbo J. (Injury) Rogers J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burton: Webster C. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
29.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTW
- Burton Albion
English League One
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
15.11.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Bradford City - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.04.25	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	1:1
21.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:2
29.03.24	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:1
03.10.23	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	2:1
12.04.22	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	0:0
30.10.21	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	2:0
24.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:1

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