Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 35

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.7
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.65	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.61	3.3	2.66
	2.77	3.17	2.81
	2.5	3.25	2.62
	2.64	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.77)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)	2.65 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
35.5%

Draw
29%

Cheltenham Town
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheltenham Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	18.5%	22.2%

Wigan Athletic - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 6. Hughes C. (C) 15. Kerr J. 24. Chambers L. 18. Smith J. 26. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 3. Pearce T. 17. Godo M. 23. Kelman C. 10. Aasgaard T.	1. Southwood L. (G) 33. Davies C. 4. Bradbury T. 6. Freestone L. 2. Long S. (C) 23. Bonds E. 34. Pett T. 7. Kinsella L. 15. Ferry W. 19. Lloyd G. 9. Taylor M.
Substitutes
12. Amos B. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 4. Morrison L. 21. Smith S. 22. Sze C.	25. Harrop J. 10. Keena A. 26. Nuttall J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 8. Sercombe L. 5. Smith A. 27. Thomas J.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Clarke D.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
17.02.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Peterborough United - Wigan Athletic	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWL
- Cheltenham Town
English League One
17.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
13.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Derby County - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1
29.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	0:0
25.09.21	Wigan Athletic - Cheltenham Town	2:0

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