Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	3.25	3.45	2.06
	3.31	3.56	2.08	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.22	3.35	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.75)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
28.2%

Draw
26.8%

Swit Skolwin
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.2%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.3%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Wigry Suwałki - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wigry will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Swit Skolwin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Taudul M. (G) 34. Berezianskyi P. 11. Glowicki K. 10. Makuszewski M. 27. Matus E. 4. Modzelewski P. 14. Moscicki M. 8. Osipiuk O. 5. Ozga M. 6. Wybraniec N. 77. Zalewski K.	1. Matloka P. (G) 80. Aftyka G. 21. Janiszewski G. 17. Kasprzak B. 19. Kisly D. 11. Nowak K. 23. Nowicki S. 9. Ropski K. 4. Spychala M. 22. Stasiak A. 6. Straus J.
Substitutes
. Bednarczyk P. . Cudowski K. . Debski M. . Guzewski B. . Kozlowski F. . Otito . Paszkowski J. . Trabka L. . Turczewski S.	20. Ciechanowski D. 18. Fornalik D. 5. Goral J. . Kalenik O. 13. Kapelusz S. 33. Kort D. 8. Koziara M. . Latanski J. 12. Sandach A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Zalewski K. ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Ropski K. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
105', 2 - 1, Ozga M. ⚽,
113', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Wigry is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swit Skolwin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swit Skolwin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Swit Skolwin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Wigry to win the game is with odds 3.32.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
30.08.24	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTT
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 2
22.09.24	Swit Skolwin - Wieczysta Kraków	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Wisła Puławy - Swit Skolwin	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Swit Skolwin - Skra Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

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