Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Wikielec		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.5	2.92
	2	3.6	3.06
	1.00	1.00	1.05	Watch
	2.05	3.48	3.28	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.51)	2.99 ↓ (3.45)	2.54 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wikielec
41.9%

Draw
26.7%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

25.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.1%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wikielec's performance.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wikielec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wikielec (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wikielec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Yampol A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 2.

In recent matches, Wikielec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Świt is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wikielec won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wikielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Wikielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWT
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0
07.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	1:0
02.03.24	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1
13.08.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1
26.11.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:1
07.08.21	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:3
21.11.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	0:1

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