Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Wikielec		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.81	3.45	2.31
	2.81	3.15	2.32
	2.83	3.39	2.31	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.37 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wikielec
34.1%

Draw
27.2%

Olimpia Zambrów
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

23.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wikielec's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Kacperek P. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wikielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wikielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.05.24	GKS Bełchatów - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Wikielec - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:3 ✺
27.04.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Wikielec	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLT
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Olimpia Zambrów	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.10.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Wikielec	4:0
21.04.21	Wikielec - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
26.09.20	Olimpia Zambrów - Wikielec	4:1
02.06.18	Wikielec - Olimpia Zambrów	0:4
04.11.17	Olimpia Zambrów - Wikielec	1:0

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