Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Lidl Arena (Wil)

Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3


	Wil 1900		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.24
	2.87	3.5	2.41
	2.84	3.48	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.79	3.46	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.34)	3.39 ↓ (3.47)	2.31 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wil 1900
32.9%

Draw
27.2%

Thun
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wil 1900 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wil 1900 - Thun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Laidani A. (G) 3. Guzzo R. 4. Jacovic D. 5. Crnovrsanin S. 8. Brahimi M. 17. Staubli T. 7. Neziri B. 20. Ndau K. (C) 10. Maier N. 12. Akinola A. 25. Hajij M.	1. Ziswiler N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 8. Janjicic V. 6. Bertone L. 78. Matoshi V. 10. Tomas M. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
33. Abazi L. 30. Akahomen M. 24. Borges F. 18. Bujard Y. (G) 50. De Souza D. 6. Geiger S. 29. Hanke M. 11. Rapp S. 15. Schmid Y.	7. Castroman M. 37. Dahler L. 5. Franke D. 29. Frith D. 77. Meichtry F. 74. Rastoder E. 16. Roth J. 11. Stewart L. 64. Walti D. (G)
Coaches
Hammerli M.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Ibayi C. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', Montolio G. 🟨,
57', Matoshi V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
58', Janjicic V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Montolio G. ⚽, Tomas M. (A),
65', Staubli T. ↓, Hanke M. ↑,
65', Neziri B. ↓, Geiger S. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Maier N. ⚽, Ndau K. (A),
72', Tomas M. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
72', Gutbub M. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Fehr F. ⚽,
75', Hajij M. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
82', Brahimi M. ↓, Akahomen M. ↑,
82', Akinola A. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
83', Ibayi C. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Geiger S. ⚽, Borges F. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wil won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Thun will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Wil: Muci A. (Injury) Saho U. (Injury) Schmid Y. (Injury) Simovic K. (Injury)

There will not play in Thun: Reichmuth N. (Yellow Cards) Tebily H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wil: Geiger S. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wil won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 26:41 (average 1.3:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wil won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:23 (average 1.2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
15.02.25	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Vaduz - Wil 1900	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.25	Wil 1900 - Zurich II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTW
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
14.02.25	Aarau - Thun	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Thun - Bellinzona	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Thun - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Thun - Rapperswil-Jona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
06.12.24	Thun - Wil 1900	0:2
23.09.24	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:0
20.05.24	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:3
09.03.24	Thun - Wil 1900	2:1
20.10.23	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:3
02.09.23	Thun - Wil 1900	3:1
08.04.23	Wil 1900 - Thun	1:2

Upcoming Matches