Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Aarau		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.25	2.7
	2.35	3.5	2.96
	2.31	3.43	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.28	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.31	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.31)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
40%

Draw
27.4%

Thun
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Aarau - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Thun will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hubel M. (G) 29. Dickenmann M. 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 27. Obexer L. 26. Bahloul S. 6. Aliu I. 47. Fofana M. 23. Gjorgjev N. 10. Fazliu V. (C) 9. Toure Y.	1. Ziswiler N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 23. Burki M. (C) 5. Franke D. 16. Roth J. 6. Bertone L. 78. Matoshi V. 70. Reichmuth N. 11. Stewart L. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
25. Derbaci D. 11. Filet E. 49. Gebreyesus E. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 21. Jakob N. 38. Kessler R. 17. Koide H. 31. Odutayo C. 2. Thaler M.	19. Bamert J. 7. Castroman M. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 8. Janjicic V. 77. Meichtry F. 74. Rastoder E. 24. Steffen N. (G) 10. Tomas M.
Coaches
Iacopetta B.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Ibayi C. 🟨,
20', Bahloul S. 🟨,
33', Muller S. 🟨,
45+2', Reichmuth N. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Acquah D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Fehr F. 🟨,
60', Bahloul S. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
64', Reichmuth N. ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
65', Stewart L. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
69', Aliu I. 🟨,
72', Tomas M. 🟨,
73', Aliu I. ↓, Thaler M. ↑,
73', Toure Y. ↓, Filet E. ↑,
76', Ibayi C. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
77', Matoshi V. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
85', Roth J. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
87', Filet E. 🟨,
90+1', Gjorgjev N. ↓, Jakob N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2.

Thun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Thun have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Aarau: Essiam E. (Injury) Jackle O. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Thun: Tebily H. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aarau won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 37:28 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Aarau won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:13 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
07.02.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Aarau - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Stade Nyonnais - Aarau	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Schalke 04 - Aarau	3:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
13.12.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
09.02.25	Thun - Bellinzona	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Thun - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Thun - Rapperswil-Jona	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Thun - Kriens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
30.11.24	Thun - Aarau	1:1
19.07.24	Aarau - Thun	1:3
19.04.24	Aarau - Thun	3:0
16.02.24	Thun - Aarau	1:0
03.11.23	Aarau - Thun	5:2
22.09.23	Thun - Aarau	2:0
14.04.23	Thun - Aarau	2:3

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