Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.3
	1.39	4.56	6.77
	1.43	4.49	6.83	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.4	4.3	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.32 ↑ (4.2)	6.47 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
64.9%

Draw
21.1%

Tiverton Town
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

17.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berkhamsted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiverton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berkhamsted - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Lacey J. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 0, Duodu S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 3 - 0, Lacey J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Berkhamsted have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tiverton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiverton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berkhamsted is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berkhamsted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11:14	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Poole Town - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Berkhamsted - Taunton Town	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Bracknell Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Berkhamsted - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLT
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted	0:1

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