Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)


	Wisła Kraków		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75
	1.55	4.1	4.8
	1.62	4	5
	1.62	4.12	5.08
	1.63	4.12	5.08
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.61	4	4.82	Watch
	1.57	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	4.04 ↓ (4.09)	4.85 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
58%

Draw
22.9%

Motor Lublin
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Wisła Kraków - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Kraków will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Raton A. (G) 25. Jaroch B. 6. Uryga A. (C) 5. Colley J. 43. Szot D. 41. Duda K. 8. Carbo M. 10. Villar Miki 22. Goku Roman 17. Alfaro J. 23. Sobczak S.	1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 21. Rudol S. 47. Palacz K. 19. Welniak K. 37. Scalet M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)
Substitutes
77. Baena Perez A. 11. Bregu D. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 29. Omrani B. 19. Satrustegui E. 56. Szewczyk K. (G) 14. Zyro M.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 10. Krol R. 74. Kruk K. 73. Lis J. 24. Luberecki F. 7. Rybicki M. 99. Spiewak K. 4. Szarek P. 22. Wojtkowski K.
Coaches
Rude A.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Jaroch B. 🟥,
16', Alfaro J. 🟨,
16', Stolarski P. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Mraz S. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
18', Szot D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Goku Roman ⚽, Alfaro J. (A),
37', Szot D. ↓, Lasicki I. ↑,
45', Rudol S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rudol S. ↓, Kruk K. ↑,
46', Stolarski P. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Ceglarz P. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
57', Krol M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Mraz S. ⚽,
59', Colley J. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
59', Villar Miki ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
62', Scalet M. 🟨,
66', Mraz S. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
66', Krol M. ↓, Rybicki M. ↑,
72', Welniak K. ↓, Krol R. ↑,
74', Sobczak S. ↓, Omrani B. ↑,
74', Goku Roman ↓, Bregu D. ↑,
89', Lasicki I. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Motor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wisła is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wisła won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Cup
03.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.03.24	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Kraków	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
15.03.24	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
01.04.24	Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:4
Polish Cup
09.11.22	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:0

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