Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 34

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Wisła Puławy		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.9	3	2.35
	3.08	2.63	2.49
	3.08	2.64	2.49
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	3.42	2.49	2.49	Watch
	3.6	2.49	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Puławy
29.7%

Draw
32.6%

Pogoń Siedlce
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Puławy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Puławy than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	88.9%	0%

Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wisła Puławy will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 74.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mielcarz O. (G) 34. Bortniczuk M. 31. Flak J. 9. Giel P. 10. Janicki R. 91. Klichowicz M. (C) 99. Noiszewski K. 3. Sewerys R. 74. Skalecki P. 19. Tkocz M. 18. Wiech L.	1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 55. Karwot M. 3. Majewski R. 21. Milasius T. 4. Misiak P. 18. Pyrdol P. 7. Szuprytowski D.
Substitutes
27. Cheba D. 66. Kaczorowski K. 26. Koltanski D. 1. Lakota P. (G) 22. Luczuk F. 16. Nojszewski J. 17. Pavlas D. 55. Ponce M. 94. Szymanek K.	20. Bujalski C. 23. Derlatka H. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 2. Lewandowski T. 11. Majewski M. 10. Mis K. 9. Nowak D. 26. Okusami J. 91. Walczak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Wiech L. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Hrnciar L. ⚽,
27', Skalecki P. 🟨,
30', Janicki R. 🟨,
31', Hrnciar L. 🟨,
35', Sewerys R. 🟥,
36', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
45+1', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Skalecki P. ↓, Pavlas D. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Misiak P. ⚽,
57', Hrnciar L. ↓, Majewski M. ↑,
63', Pavlas D. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
66', Milasius T. ↓, Mis K. ↑,
67', Bortniczuk M. ↓, Nojszewski J. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Majewski M. ⚽,
86', Janicki R. ↓, Luczuk F. ↑,
86', Klichowicz M. ↓, Szymanek K. ↑,
86', Flak J. ↓, Cheba D. ↑,
90', Karwot M. ↓, Bujalski C. ↑,
90', Demianiuk C. ↓, Walczak T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Puławy won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pogoń Siedlce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wisła Puławy have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Wisła Puławy won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Puławy won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Puławy
Polish Division 2
17.05.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Wisła Puławy	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Wisła Puławy	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Radunia Stężyca - Wisła Puławy	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Wisła Puławy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWL
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
18.05.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
13.05.24	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Jastrzębie	3:4 ✺
05.05.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca	0:3 ✺
19.04.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
12.11.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Puławy	2:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Puławy	0:1
Polish Division 2
06.05.23	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
01.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Puławy	1:1
14.05.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Puławy	3:3
06.11.21	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Siedlce	4:0

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