Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.25	3.5	2
	3.22	3.8	2.01
	3.1	3.5	1.91
	3.24	3.65	2.01	Watch
	3.2	3.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
28.5%

Draw
25.5%

Pogoń Siedlce
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

29.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 9. Adamski R. 8. Dziewiatowski M. 5. Karasinski S. 7. Kludka B. 6. Kocaba F. 2. Kolan J. 11. Kruszelnicki P. 10. Kusztal P. 4. Orlikowski I. 3. Sochan K.	1. Burek J. (G) 20. Bujalski C. 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 4. Misiak P. 10. Mis K. 9. Nowak D. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D.
Substitutes
17. Antkiewicz F. 14. Dorozko J. 19. Dudzinski D. 15. Kizyma M. 13. Lipp M. 18. Regula M. 12. Steffen A. (G) 20. Szafranek W. 16. Terlecki K.	23. Derlatka H. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 11. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 21. Milasius T. 26. Okusami J. 18. Pyrdol P. 91. Walczak T. 99. Wicenciak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Hrnciar L. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Demianiuk C. ⚽,
41', Hrnciar L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kocaba F. ↓, Kizyma M. ↑,
46', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Terlecki K. ↑,
46', Kusztal P. ↓, Dudzinski D. ↑,
64', Demianiuk C. 🟨,
73', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,
74', Adamski R. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
80', Sochan K. 🟨,
80', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
82', Regula M. 🟨,
83', Karasinski S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zagłębie 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pogoń Siedlce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
27.04.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Radunia Stężyca	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWL
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
26.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Radunia Stężyca	0:3 ✺
19.04.24	Skra Częstochowa - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
05.11.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
16.07.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0

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