Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Płock		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.29	3.45	3.11
	2.3	3.29	3.07	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.24	3.35	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
41.2%

Draw
27.8%

Ruch Chorzów
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (G) 17. Misiak P. 19. Edmundsson A. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 18. Jimenez J. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 66. Salvador I. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 37. Tomczyk O.	88. Turk M. (G) 20. Szymanski S. 17. Lukic A. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 15. Konczkowski M. 25. Ventura D. 24. Baranski B. 13. Moneta L. 77. Laski W. 86. Novothny S. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
21. Brzozowski M. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 9. Kocyla D. 22. Krawczyk P. 3. Kukulka K. 5. Nastic B. 6. Pomorski K. 77. Szymanski J.	6. Chmarek M. 26. Gora L. 38. Karasinski S. 19. Lipinski K. 14. Nono 22. Potoczny M. (G) 27. Szwoch M. 1. Szymanski J. (G)
Coaches
Misiura M.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Laski W. ↓, Szwoch M. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Edmundsson A. ⚽,
24', Lukic A. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Szwoch M. ⚽, Sadlok M. (A),
37', Szwoch M. 🟨,
38', Szczepan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
61', Sekulski L. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
61', Salvador I. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
62', Moneta L. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
62', Baranski B. ↓, Nono ↑,
63', Szymanski S. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Hiszpanski F. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Szczepan D. (Pen),
78', Ventura D. 🟨,
82', Ventura D. ↓, Chmarek M. ↑,
88', Kun D. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
90', Nono 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Krawczyk P. ⚽,
90+4', Tomczyk O. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
90+4', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
90+5', Kocyla D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Wisła Płock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wisła Płock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
21.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	4:2 ✺
18.08.24	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Odra Opole - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Wisła Płock - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Warta Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
22.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
02.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.17	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
10.12.16	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	4:3
08.08.16	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock	2:2

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