Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Wisła Płock		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.08	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.16	3.49	3.44
	2.19	3.26	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.11	3.46	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
44.1%

Draw
27.6%

Zagłębie Lubin
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wisła Płock (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wisła Płock will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 2. Custovic K. 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 30. Nowak W. 10. Sekulski L. (C) 11. Jimenez J.	30. Hladun D. (G) 3. Yakuba R. 25. Nalepa M. 5. Lawniczak A. 35. Lucic L. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 19. Sypek J. 18. Radwanski A. 44. Regula M. 9. Kosidis M.
Substitutes
7. Barnowski D. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 9. Niarchos G. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I. 37. Tomczyk O. 42. Zajac F.	1. Buric J. (G) 16. Corluka J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 27. Kludka B. 26. Kolan J. 4. Michalski D. 71. Nowogonski K. 31. Orlikowski I. 99. Popielec C. 77. Szmyt K. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Regula M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sypek J. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
50', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Sekulski L. (Pen),
59', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
68', Regula M. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
73', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
77', Radwanski A. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
81', Lucic L. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
81', Sekulski L. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
81', Kosidis M. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
81', Kun D. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Salvador I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.

Wisła Płock is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zagłębie Lubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wisła Płock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Wieckowski M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Orlikowski I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WTWWW
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	6:2 ✺
01.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.04.23	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0
18.09.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	2:1
18.02.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	3:1
20.08.21	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	4:0
16.05.21	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	4:0
29.01.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock	0:2

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