The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wolfsberger 53.4%
Draw 24.2%
St. Pölten 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.1%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
13.8%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsberger's form might have worsened.
St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (-18%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolfsberger that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pölten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.2%
9.1%
66.7%
Wolfsberger - St. Pölten Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). St. Pölten will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pölten: 50.6% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Wolfsberger has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (19%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
St. Pölten has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Wolfsberger is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
St. Pölten is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Wolfsberger is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Wolfsberger won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsberger won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-3.