Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 6

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolfsburg		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.42
	5.4	4.95	1.43
	5.6	5.22	1.5
	5.08	5.2	1.48	Watch
	5	4.5	1.4
	5.89	4.75	1.39
	5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 (5.39)	4.8 ↓ (5.52)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
17.1%

Draw
19.2%

Chelsea
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

16.9%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

17%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Wolfsburg - Chelsea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannes S. (G) 39. Linder S. 20. Bergsvand G. 16. Kuver C. 15. Levels J. 6. Minge J. 11. Popp A. 5. Peddemors E. 10. Huth S. 9. Beerensteyn L. 19. Bussy K.	1. Peng L. (G) 22. Bronze L. 4. Bright M. 16. Girma N. 2. Carpenter E. 8. Cuthbert E. 10. James L. 30. Walsh K. 17. Baltimore S. 20. Kerr S. 12. Thompson A.
Substitutes
2. Bjelde T. 25. Endemann V. 18. Kielland J. 4. Kleinherne S. 8. Lattwein L. 33. Pujols J. 12. Smolarczyk N. (G) 21. Tufekovic M. (G) 14. Vallotto S. 24. Wedemeyer M. 28. Zicai C.	33. Beever-Jones A. 5. Buurman V. 21. Charles N. 23. Hamano M. 24. Hampton H. (G) 27. Jean-Francois O. 19. Kaneryd J. 18. Kaptein W. 6. Nusken S. 32. Potter A. 11. Reiten G.
Coaches
Lerch S.	Bompastor S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Bright M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Popp A. ⚽, Levels J. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Bronze L. ⚽, Cuthbert E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', James L. ↓, Nusken S. ↑,
54', Carpenter E. ↓, Kaneryd J. ↑,
61', Peddemors E. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
62', Bussy K. ↓, Endemann V. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Kerr S. ⚽, Kaneryd J. (A),
71', Baltimore S. 🟨,
72', Lattwein L. 🟨,
74', Minge J. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
75', Walsh K. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
75', Baltimore S. ↓, Charles N. ↑,
80', Kerr S. ↓, Beever-Jones A. ↑,
83', Huth S. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
83', Linder S. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Wolfsburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
13.12.25	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	1:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
09.12.25	Real Madrid - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
05.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Wolfsburg - Manchester United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW
- Chelsea LFC
English WSL
14.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
10.12.25	Chelsea - Roma	6:0 ✺
English WSL
07.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Chelsea - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
English WSL
16.11.25	Liverpool LFC - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
16.12.21	Wolfsburg - Chelsea	4:0
06.10.21	Chelsea - Wolfsburg	3:3
31.03.21	Wolfsburg - Chelsea	0:3
24.03.21	Chelsea - Wolfsburg	2:1
29.04.18	Wolfsburg - Chelsea	2:0
22.04.18	Chelsea - Wolfsburg	1:3
Club Friendly Women
24.08.17	Chelsea - Wolfsburg	1:3

Wolfsburg - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide