Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 42

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Worthing		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.25
	1.35	4.25	6.25
	1.31	5.65	8.56
	1.28	5.6	8.7
	1.31	5.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.14 ↑ (4)	7.59 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
70.1%

Draw
17.8%

Concord Rangers
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

14.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worthing's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-30.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worthing - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Concord have a series of guest games.

In this match Worthing is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Worthing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
25.03.23	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Chelmsford City - Worthing	4:2 ✺
11.03.23	Worthing - Bath City	2:3 ✺
07.03.23	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	7:2 ✺
04.03.23	Slough Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLT
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
04.04.23	Taunton Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
14.03.23	Concord Rangers - Chelmsford City	1:2
11.03.23	Welling United - Concord Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.09.22	Concord Rangers - Worthing	1:1

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