Match Info

National League South - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.55	1.52
	4.8	4.58	1.56
	4.73	4.56	1.57	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.53
	4.68	4.37	1.6
	4.5	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.45)	4.46 ↑ (4.41)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
19.7%

Draw
20.8%

Worthing
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

21.1%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

20.1%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Dover Athletic - Worthing Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Worthing (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 0, Sodje H. ⚽,
85', Jones J. 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dover has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worthing is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Worthing is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17:16	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Dover Athletic - the odds 4.45 are the expected chance of winning is 20.88%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
03.02.26	Dover Athletic - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Totton - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
20.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Dover Athletic - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
31.01.26	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Salisbury - Worthing	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.10.25	Worthing - Dover Athletic	3:1
10.02.24	Worthing - Dover Athletic	6:4
26.08.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:2
31.01.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:3
06.08.22	Worthing - Dover Athletic	1:1

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