Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Oxford City		Worthing

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3.1
	2	3.4	3.15
	2.05	3.71	3.27
	2.05	3.74	3.28
	2.07	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
45.5%

Draw
25.6%

Worthing
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1%)

Oxford City - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Oxford City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Worthing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Worthing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
29.04.23	Bath City - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Oxford City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Dover Athletic - Oxford City	1:5 ✺
10.04.23	Oxford City - Chelmsford City	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Ebbsfleet United - Oxford City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
03.05.23	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1 ✺
25.04.23	Cheshunt - Worthing	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Taunton Town - Worthing	3:2 ✺
18.04.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.02.23	Oxford City - Worthing	3:0
08.11.22	Worthing - Oxford City	1:0

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