Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.55	5.5
	1.45	4.59	5.79
	1.64	3.98	4.62	Watch
	1.42	4.7	6.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	4.46 ↑ (3.98)	5.51 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
62.3%

Draw
20.8%

Dover Athletic
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worthing's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Worthing - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Cook J. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Sheriff D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 3 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 10)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Worthing has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worthing is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
21.10.25	Chesham United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.10.25	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Maidenhead United - Worthing	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Wimborne Town - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hornchurch - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.02.24	Worthing - Dover Athletic	6:4
26.08.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:2
31.01.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:3
06.08.22	Worthing - Dover Athletic	1:1

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