Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Totton		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.35	2.92
	2.36	3.57	2.78
	1.48	3.98	6.71	Watch
	2.26	3.32	2.97
	2.1	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	3.51 ↓ (3.52)	3.68 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
46.3%

Draw
27.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

28%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Totton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Totton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Cordner T. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Clarke A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Matthews Lewis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.5:6).

Including home match between the teams, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Truro City - Totton	1:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Totton - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsham - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Totton - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTWWW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Hereford - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bishops Stortford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern Premier League
25.01.14	Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:4
26.11.13	Hemel Hempstead Town - Totton	8:1

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