Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)


	Rochdale		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.4	4.4	5.4
	1.46	4.83	5.81	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.41	4.75	6.13
	1.4	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)	4.59 ↓ (5.15)	5.75 ↓ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
64.5%

Draw
19.8%

Stockton Town
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Rochdale - Stockton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Stockton Town will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Butterworth Glen (Pen),
1, Barlow A. (Pen),
2, Scott J. (Pen),
2, East R. (Pen),
3, Hayes K. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, Fowler M. (Pen),
4, Beckwith S. (Pen),
5, Thompson S. (Pen),
5, Allarakhia T. (Pen),
6, Harker N. (Pen),
6, Buyabu J. (Pen),

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rochdale is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
26.12.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
17.12.24	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Leamington - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Whitby Town - Stockton Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Macclesfield Town - Stockton Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Stockton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTLW

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