Match Info

League Two - Round 40

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Salford City		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.28	Watch
	3.05	3.46	2.34
	2.73	3.31	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	2.93	3.28	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
31.8%

Draw
28.3%

Milton Keynes Dons
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 17. Austerfield J. 18. Butcher M. 8. Grant J. 26. Graydon R. 23. Udoh D.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 15. Offord L. 2. Jones G. 6. Kelly L. 7. Crowley D. 22. Mellish J. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
16. Borini F. 34. Butt R. 24. Dorrington A. 25. Ehibhatiomhan P. 33. Howard M. (G) 27. Siri N. 9. Stockton C.	29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Hogan S. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 16. Nemane A. 32. Sanders J. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Crowley D. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
59', Kelly L. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Butcher M. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
69', Udoh D. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
78', Collins A. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
79', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
85', Offord L. 🟥,
86', Mellish J. 🟨,
86', Graydon R. 🟨,
87', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
90+1', Grant J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
90+2', Gilbey A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Cesay K. (Inactive) Edwards T. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive) N'Mai K. (Injury) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)

There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 19.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.52%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
21.03.26	Cambridge United - Salford City	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Salford City - Barrow	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Harrogate Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Salford City - Walsall	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Salford City - Barnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
21.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5 ✺
07.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.11.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	2:0
04.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	0:1
02.09.24	Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
09.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	3:1
25.11.23	Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons	2:4

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