Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.64	4.32	4.97
	1.76	3.80	4.23	Watch
	1.62	4.3	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	4.81 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wrexham
57.9%

Draw
22.4%

Reading
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Wrexham - Reading Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Burton C. (G) 3. Brunt L. 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 29. Barnett R. 37. James M. 14. Thomason G. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 33. Broadhead N. 28. Smith S.	25. Stevens J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 22. Stickland M. (C) 5. Jacob M. 19. Garcia A. 29. Doyle K. 4. Elliott B. 8. Savage C. 11. Kyerewaa D. 20. O'Mahony M. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.
Substitutes
4. Cleworth M. 6. Coady C. 15. Dobson G. 9. Hardie R. 12. Kabore I. 45. Longman R. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 1. Okonkwo A. (G)	39. Ahmed A. 38. Duah P. 6. Fraser L. 32. Lane P. 57. Patton S. 1. Pereira J. (G) 14. Rushesha T. 36. Ryan J. 10. Wing L.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Thomason G. 🟨,
45', Garcia A. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. ⚽,
66', Elliott B. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
66', Savage C. ↓, Wing L. ↑,
66', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
66', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Rushesha T. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Broadhead N. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
72', Barnett R. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
72', Thomason G. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
72', Broadhead N. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
79', Doyle C. ↓, Cleworth M. ↑,
87', Smith S. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,

Preview

Wrexham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Wrexham is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Abrefa K. (Injury) Kyerewaa D. (Injury) Rushesha T. (Inactive) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
20.09.25	Norwich City - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Wrexham - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWWT
- Reading
English League One
20.09.25	Reading - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Swindon Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Reading - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.03.25	Reading - Wrexham	2:0
24.08.24	Wrexham - Reading	3:0

Upcoming Matches