Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Września		Grom Nowy Staw

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	2.50
	2.18	3.40	2.70
	2.21	3.80	2.64
	2.4	3.73	2.45	Watch
	2.18	3.70	2.50
	2.38	3.53	2.65	Watch
	2.23	3.33	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)	3.58 ↑ (3.33)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
39.9%

Draw
25.2%

Grom Nowy Staw
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Grom Nowy Staw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grom Nowy Staw than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Września - Grom Nowy Staw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Bartkowski J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 12th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Grom Nowy Staw	14	5	1	8	31:32	-1	16
16	Wrzesnia	14	2	6	6	12:24	-12	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Września	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Września	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Września - KKS Kalisz	3:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTTT
- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Bałtyk Koszalin	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Grom Nowy Staw	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Luzino - Grom Nowy Staw	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Elana Toruń - Września	✺
- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Lipno Stęszew	✺

Września - Grom Nowy Staw