Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Grom Nowy Staw		Bałtyk Koszalin

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.80	3.30
	2.02	3.55	2.85
	2.11	3.8	2.85
	1.8	3.99	3.48	Watch
	2.08	3.5	2.75
	2.1	3.78	2.94	Watch
	1.79	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	3.09 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grom Nowy Staw
46.3%

Draw
24.4%

Bałtyk Koszalin
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grom Nowy Staw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bałtyk Koszalin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grom Nowy Staw than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Grom Nowy Staw - Bałtyk Koszalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Krauze A. ⚽, Wiewiora M. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Mariusz B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Zielinski W. ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, Mariusz B. ⚽,
86', Urbanski F. 🟥,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).

Grom Nowy Staw is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Bałtyk Koszalin have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grom Nowy Staw is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Grom Nowy Staw has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Baltyk Koszalin	11	4	3	4	15:15	0	15
12	Grom Nowy Staw	12	4	1	7	28:29	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Grom Nowy Staw	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Luzino - Grom Nowy Staw	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWLTW
- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.08.19	Bałtyk Koszalin - Grom Nowy Staw	2:2

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