Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Wuhan Sports Center Stadium (Wuhan)


	Wuhan		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	15	5.75	1.22
	13	5.75	1.21
	11.5	5.5	1.22
	13	5.8	1.21
	15.1	5.85	1.22
	13	5.25	1.2
	12.5	5.9	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.3 ↑ (9.28)	5.69 ↑ (4.99)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan
7%

Draw
16.4%

Shandong Taishan
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

18.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

18%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shandong Taishan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	6.7%	66.7%

Wuhan - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wuhan will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shandong Taishan has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 51, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 1.

Recent matches Wuhan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shandong Taishan is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wuhan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shandong Taishan have a series of guest games.

In this match Shandong Taishan is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
21.08.22	Wuhan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Wuhan - Beijing Guoan	1:4 ✺
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
07.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
12.07.22	Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
21.08.22	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1 ✺
15.08.22	Hebei CFFC - Shandong Taishan	0:7 ✺
12.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
10.07.22	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
28.10.21	Wuhan - Shandong Taishan	0:1
23.10.21	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan	2:0
13.12.20	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan	1:0
06.12.20	Wuhan - Shandong Taishan	0:5
Chinese Super League
15.08.19	Wuhan - Shandong Taishan	2:1
28.04.19	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan	3:0
29.09.13	Wuhan - Shandong Taishan	0:3

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