Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 22

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.88
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.81	3.65	2
	3.66	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.83
	3.7	3.76	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (5.15)	3.62 ↓ (4.32)	1.94 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
25.7%

Draw
25.9%

Shandong Taishan
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

21.6%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cangzhou Mighty Lions's performance.

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cangzhou Mighty Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Shao Puliang (C) 7. Zheng Dalun 36. Yang Yun 6. Obileye A. 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 8. Zhao Yingjie 19. Zhukov G. 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber	14. Wang Dalei (G) 6. Wang Tong 3. Matheus Pato 27. Shi Ke 33. Gao Zhunyi 21. Liu Binbin 20. Liao Lisheng 30. Abudulam Abdursul 23. Xie Wenneng 9. Cryzan (C) 8. Delgado P.
Substitutes
37. Dong Hang (G) 26. Guo Yunqi 28. Han Rongze (G) 25. Hou J. 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 13. Sun Qinhan 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 16. Zheng Kaimu 12. Zhu Yue	24. Bi Jinhao 29. Chen Pu 35. Huang Zhengyu 16. Jia Feifan 26. Liu Shibo (G) 22. LI Yuanyi 28. Mijit Mewlan 10. Qazaishvili V. 2. Tong Lei 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 13. Zhang Chi 31. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Li Xiaopeng	Choi Kang-Hee

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Yang Yun 🟨,
28', Abudulam Abdursul 🟥,
29', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
30', Delgado P. ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
45', Cryzan 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Liao Lisheng ⚽, Huang Zhengyu (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Yang Yun ↓, Yao X. ↑,
52', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
55', Heber 🟨,
62', Wang Tong ↓, LI Yuanyi ↑,
62', Xie Wenneng ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Obileye A. ⚽, Zheng Dalun (A),
71', 2 - 1, Heber ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
75', Liu Binbin ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
75', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Heber (A),
88', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Li Hong ↑,
90+3', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Yan Zihao ↑,
90+5', Sun M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 1.

Cangzhou is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shandong Taishan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shandong Taishan is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
02.08.24	Qingdao West Coast - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:5 ✺
12.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLTT
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
03.08.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shandong Taishan	0:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1
13.08.23	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0
14.05.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	1:1
30.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3
12.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:2
11.08.21	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1
21.07.21	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:2

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