The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 26.3%
Draw 21.4%
Shanghai Shenhua 52.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
22.1%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
21.2%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan Three Towns's form might have worsened.
Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Guo Jiayu (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 2. He Guan (C) 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 8. Wang Jinxian 18. Zhang Xiaobin 20. Adriano Firmino 10. Bevis K. 7. Gustavo Sauer 29. Cadiz J.
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 3. Jin Shunkai 5. Zhu Chenjie 16. Yang Zexiang 17. Gao Tianyi 15. Wu Xi (C) 19. Asue L. 10. Teixeira J. 30. Xie Pengfei 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
15. Chen Zhechao 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 50. Leautey A. 12. Liao Chengjian 33. Liu Binbin 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 28. Wang Denny 21. Xiong J. 9. Zheng Haoqian 13. Zheng Kaimu
27. Chan Shinichi 45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 4. Jiang Shenglong 50. Jiang Z. (G) 24. Ma Zhen (G) 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Qipeng 21. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 26. Yang Shuai
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang
Milojevic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Asue L. ⚽,
43', Asue L. 🟨,
45+1', Zhu Chenjie 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wang Jinxian ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
60', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Rafael Ratao (Penalty Awarded),
67', Xie Pengfei ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
67', Yang Zexiang ↓, Chan Shinichi ↑,
70', Li Shenyuan ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
76', Gao Tianyi ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
76', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
86', Teixeira J. ↓, Jiang Shenglong ↑,
86', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
87', Asue L. ↓, Han Jiawen ↑,
88', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Han Jiawen ⚽, Wu Xi (A),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Relegation - League One and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 1.
In recent outings, Wuhan Three Towns has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Shanghai Shenhua is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Shanghai Shenhua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Wuhan Three Towns: Ming Tian
(Yellow Cards)
Yamkam M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Shanghai Shenhua: Ke L.
(Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:16 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wuhan Three Towns against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Shanghai Shenhua
29
14
5
10
63:50
13
37
15
Wuhan Three Towns
29
5
12
12
44:55
-11
22
Last Results with these Odds
Shanghai Shenhua - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.52%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
China
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Guo Jiayu (G) 
Adriano Firmino 
Bevis K. 
Cadiz J. 
Manafa W. 
Asue L. 
Leautey A. 
Chan Shinichi 
Milojevic V. 
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