Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 28

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Wuxi Wugou		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.88
	3.65	3.2	1.94
	4.33	3.25	1.93
	3.95	3.19	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.81	3.32	1.87	Watch
	3.65	3.2	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (4.48)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)	1.93 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
24.1%

Draw
28.4%

Dalian Young Boy
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.5%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

27.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Young Boy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Young Boy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wuxi Wugou - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 27. He Wei 4. Liang Jinhu 5. Lin Jiahao 18. Yue Zhilei 45. Zhao Z. 10. Tong Le 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 11. Mandic S. 7. Guo Song 20. Nouble J.	17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 22. Mao W. 34. Zhao Mingjian 21. Lu Peng 29. Sun B. 40. Fernando Karanga 44. Kotnik A.
Substitutes
39. Fu Hao 21. He Mingli 17. Hu Shengjia 12. Song X. 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 6. Tang Qirun 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 8. Zhang Yuanshu 36. Zhao Shuhao 40. Zhao Yubo 38. Zhu Haiwei	23. 23 28. Fei Yu 15. Fu Yuncheng 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 3. Gerbig O. 10. Wang Xuanhong 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 26. Zhongkai C. 16. Zhu P.
Coaches
Wang D.	Li G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Tong Le 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lin Jiahao 🟨,
57', Sun B. ↓, Yan Xiangchuang ↑,
70', Mao W. ↓, Zhu P. ↑,
73', Nouble J. ↓, Zhang Yuanshu ↑,
73', Mandic S. ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Zhao Z. ⚽, Zhao Shuhao (A),
78', Zhao Z. ↓, He Mingli ↑,
81', Lu Zhuoyi ↓, Wang Xuanhong ↑,
84', Zhao Shuhao ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Robson ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Fernando Karanga ⚽, Zhu P. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wuxi Wugou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
13.10.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ningbo Professional - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Foshan Nanshi	4:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWT
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
13.10.24	Dalian Young Boy - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Wuxi Wugou	2:1

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