Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 27

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Dalian Young Boy		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.6	3.6	5	Watch
	1.63	3.7	5.47
	1.69	3.65	5.06	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.58	5.37	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	3.62 ↓ (3.67)	5.16 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
57.1%

Draw
25.3%

Nanjing City
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

17%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Young Boy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nanjing City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Dalian Young Boy - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 22. Mao W. 34. Zhao Mingjian 21. Lu Peng 29. Sun B. 40. Fernando Karanga 44. Kotnik A.	21. Qi Yuxi (G) 39. Yu M. 30. Tayir Shewketjan 45. Ji Xiang 33. Sun Enming 31. Zhu Qiwen 27. Wang Hao 26. Liu Jiahui 20. Ogbu M. 9. Yang He 7. Nem Jefferson
Substitutes
28. Fei Yu 15. Fu Yuncheng 1. Ge Peng (G) 12. Wang Shengbo 10. Wang Xuanhong 25. Xiao Zhiren (G) 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 42. Yu Z. 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.	29. Dong H. 2. Dujardin A. 16. Gong Hankui 23. Gong Jinlin 17. Meng Zhen 18. Nan Xiaoheng 42. Shi Chenglong (G) 8. Wei Yuren 38. Xu Zhenyu 24. Zhang Yu
Coaches
Li G.	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', Yang He 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Fernando Karanga ⚽, Kotnik A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ji Xiang ↓, Dong H. ↑,
47', Sun B. 🟨,
54', Sun B. ↓, Yan Xiangchuang ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Robson ⚽, Zhao Mingjian (A),
70', Jin Pengxiang 🟨,
77', Zhao Mingjian ↓, Fei Yu ↑,
79', Sun Enming ↓, Dujardin A. ↑,
79', Yu M. ↓, Wei Yuren ↑,
83', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Zhongkai C. ↑,
84', Kotnik A. ↓, Yan P. ↑,
90+4', Mao W. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 11).

Recent matches Dalian Young Boy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nanjing City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nanjing City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dalian Young Boy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
06.10.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTT
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
05.10.24	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.06.24	Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy	2:0

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