Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Würzburger Kickers		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	3.9	4	1.83	Watch
	3.65	4.1	1.82
	3.5	4.2	1.82
	3.75	4.42	1.84
	3.7	4.2	1.78	Watch
	3.64	4.5	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	4.2 ↑ (4)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
25.3%

Draw
22.5%

Paderborn
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

18.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Würzburger Kickers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paderborn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Würzburger Kickers - Paderborn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 10).

Würzburger Kickers is Relegated to 3. Liga

Würzburger Kickers has the most likely position - 18 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 24, was already of relegated.

Paderborn has the most likely position - 10 (49.64%), has project points - 48, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of promoted.

Würzburger Kickers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paderborn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paderborn is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger Kickers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
16.05.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Würzburger Kickers	1:2 ✺
08.05.21	Würzburger Kickers - Osnabrück	1:3 ✺
23.04.21	Karlsruher - Würzburger Kickers	2:2 ✺
20.04.21	Würzburger Kickers - Darmstadt	1:3 ✺
17.04.21	St. Pauli - Würzburger Kickers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLTLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
16.05.21	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:4 ✺
09.05.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Paderborn	3:8 ✺
24.04.21	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
21.04.21	Paderborn - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.01.21	Paderborn - Würzburger Kickers	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
24.02.18	Paderborn - Würzburger Kickers	0:0
09.09.17	Würzburger Kickers - Paderborn	2:3

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