Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Aurora		Marquense

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.20	3.40
	1.80	3.15	4.00
	2.03	3.17	3.77
	2.09	3.17	3.62	Watch
	2.01	3.05	3.70
	1.92	3.45	3.87	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.8)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.68 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
46.5%

Draw
28.6%

Marquense
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-3%)

Aurora - Marquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 17. Bajan D. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 27. Flores C. 15. Garcia K. 18. Grajeda J. 4. Monterroso C. 12. Motta P. 31. Urias V. 10. Vivas J.	11. Gutierrez G. (G) 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. . Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 5. Vasquez E. 8. Velasquez E.
Substitutes
16. Batres J. 2. Cardona L. 29. Del Cid H. 33. Gomez J. . Hernandez R. 11. Ibarguen E. 13. Morales H. 1. Navas D. (G) 9. Ruiz D.	. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 21. Escobar J. 10. Garcia L. . Ledesma A. 66. Lopez C. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M. 18. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Flores C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ochaeta D. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
46', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
46', Motta P. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
58', de L. B. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
62', Urias V. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
62', Vivas J. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
70', Grande D. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
70', Velasquez E. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Morales H. ⚽,
87', Grajeda J. ↓, Cardona L. ↑,

Preview

Aurora has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Marquense is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Marquense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aurora holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Aurora - Municipal	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Aurora - Suchitepéquez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.09.26	Marquense - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Marquense - Xelajú	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.04.26	Aurora - Marquense	0:1
25.02.26	Marquense - Aurora	0:0
12.10.25	Marquense - Aurora	1:1
03.08.25	Aurora - Marquense	1:1

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