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Current Win Probability
Surkhon Termez 44.8%
Draw 28%
Xorazm Urganch 27.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
28.4%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Xorazm Urganch aligns with the current prediction.
Surkhon Termez - Xorazm Urganch Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
86. Merganov D. (G) 17. Abdukhamidov S. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 21. Dzebniauri T. 11. Friday R. 15. Ramazonov D. 6. Shamsiev B. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 26. Shukurullaev B. 7. Tursunov D.
77. Ergashev U. (G) 94. Abdukhamidov R. 9. Azimov S. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 88. Khusinov A. 13. Lohan 2. Ortiqboyev D. 6. Otakhonov A. 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 96. Rafael Sabino 21. Rafael Tavares
Substitutes
25. Boymurodov O. (G) 41. Daminov A. 79. Garcia S. 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 13. Nurullayev A. 70. Salikhjonov F. 18. Uktamov B. 23. Yusupov K.
8. Abdikholikov N. 79. Akhrorov A. 7. Ismoilov T. 34. Izzatov S. . Muzaffarov N. 25. Rom M. 12. Shiryaev M. 33. Stosic N. (G) 71. Sultonov U.
Coaches
Gafurov A.
Sultonov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Rafael Tavares 🟨,
63', Rafael Sabino ↓, Abdikholikov N. ↑,
66', Ortiqboyev D. 🟨,
68', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Yusupov K. ↑,
68', Ramazonov D. ↓, Uktamov B. ↑,
84', Tursunov D. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
85', Azimov S. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
85', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
89', Uktamov B. 🟨,
90+2', Rafael Tavares ↓, Sultonov U. ↑,
90+2', Lohan ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
90+4', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Salikhjonov F. ↑,
90+4', Friday R. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th and 14th in the Super League (Relegation)).
In recent outings, Surkhon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Xorazm is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Surkhon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Surkhon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Surkhon has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Surkhon against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.