Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)


	Yanbian Longding		Dandong Tengyue

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.6
	1.95	2.9	4
	2.03	3.02	4.3
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.93	3.22	4.05	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.11)	3.95 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
47.3%

Draw
29.6%

Dandong Tengyue
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dandong Tengyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Yanbian Longding - Dandong Tengyue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng 32. Li Da 7. Han Guanghui 2. Wang Chengkuai 31. Qian Changjie 6. Li Qiang 17. Li Shibin 10. Ivo 9. Valdumar	1. Zhang Yinuo (G) 18. Li Xiaoting 5. Qiu Tianyi 25. Li Chenguang 19. Tang Miao 40. Liu Zhizhi 28. Lu Yuefeng 8. Gao Haisheng 37. Brown T. 9. Kovacevic M. 11. Zimin Nuali
Substitutes
16. Gong Hankui 18. Jin Chengjun 14. Li L. 37. Lin Taijun 15. Ruan Da Silva Chagas M. 1. Salajidin Akramjan (G) 8. Sun Jun 36. Wang B. 22. Xu Bo 26. Xu Wenguang 30. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Y.	44. Abdukerim Qaharman 10. Amed K. 21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 12. Han Zhen (G) 38. Hu M. 27. Liao Haochuan 17. Liao Wei 33. Liu Bin 24. Sherzat N. 4. Yao Diran 7. Zhang Liang
Coaches
Kim Bong-Gil	Wei S.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Yanbian Longding will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
29.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW
- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
30.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Dandong Tengyue	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
15.07.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dandong Tengyue	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
29.04.23	Dandong Tengyue - Yanbian Longding	1:1
Chinese Yi League
13.11.22	Dandong Tengyue - Yanbian Longding	0:0

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